The health bureau of Beijing denies " Mortality 2 " that first flows Low probability that great to break out
The day before yesterday Municipal Health Bureau announced figures revealed, from the beginning of this year, this city reported together that made a definite diagnosis of 195 cases in first type H1N1 influenza, 4 cases of death. Personages queried immediately: Infer, already nearly 2% of fatality rates flow in this city first according to this data. Disease in Beijing accuses of centre's saying yesterday, A flowed and already included in the class-B infectious disease in this city and managed at this point, no longer monitor aetiology to each influenza patient while prevailing big like influenza, so actual patient as much as 195 more than, can't regard first case fatality rate that flow as 2%.
2% of the nail flows the case fatality rate genus is read by mistake
Beijing Municipal Health Bureau says on the 8th, from the beginning of this year, Beijing has reported totally that makes a definite diagnosis of 195 cases in first type H1N1 influenza, 4 cases of death, among them die the Spring Festival in the same way.
Some readers feel panic about this data, " there are 4 pieces of death in 200 patients, the case fatality rate is equivalent to 2%. First the new round of has flowed popularly to begin? "
As to this, disease in Beijing accuses of the huge spark of Deputy Director in the centre to say, so as to calculate first mortality of flowing by one kind of methods. Because first one kind flowing and already becoming seasonal influenza, is brought into monitoring of the class-B infectious disease in this city and management network. At present, besides monitoring the routine according to the request of country, and no longer patient of one kind of symptoms of influenza measures aetiology.
" whether have many people get cold, go hospital seek medical advice, so 195 and a half case of of report flow, it makes a definite diagnosis of the case to be only a little part in the all influenza " . Huge spark say and unable case fatality rate that precise first statistics flow, prevail situation well below last year.
First flows possibility breaks out on a large scale not big
" whether but first flow, account for all over half of influenza virus really at present " ,The huge spark shows, influenza virus in this city takes H1N1 and H3N2 as the core this year. At present, the statistic of one kind of case monitoring points of influenza in the whole city reveals, in influenza virus sample presents the positive patient, first flowed the proportions accounted for had already risen to more than 50% from 23.08% of mid-January. This means, make a definite diagnosis of it in order that in the patient of influenza, what half the crowds infected is first virus flows.
The huge spark shows, it is not terrible that first flows, the prevention measure is the same as ordinary seasonal influenza. Virus flows to carry on gene sequencing to first that the present patient found on one's body, have not found yet that make a variation; In addition this city inoculated crowd nearly 1,700,000 of vaccine of influenza totally last year, in addition ever infecting first crowd flowing numerously, this has already built up the effective immune protective screen for Beijing.
"Last autumn and winter, the positive rate of serum antibody of this city crowd's first type H1N1 influenza exceeded 25%, it will be higher now " ,The huge spark is called, the possibility and big to break out in Beijing on a large scale that first flows.
Help, fit hospital, infect the intersection of head of the department and LianChun Liang, say, shed accepting one of the hospitals for medical treatment as first by fixed position of the patient too, hospital accept for medical treatment, flow patient by 4 light first disease only this winter, and critical patient that accept for medical treatment last year have 90 person about. (reporter Li QiuMeng)
The health bureau of Beijing denies " Mortality 2 " that first flows Low probability that great to break out
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